Titans-Jaguars Thursday Night Football preview 5 key stats to know

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Read this before deciding that Week 11's matchup between the (3-6) and (2-7) is a dud of a game.This matchup features a variety of exceptionally talented players, especially on offense. Oh, and the AFC South is completely up for grabs right now. Don't forget, too, both teams are wearing alternate uniforms as part of the NFL's "Color Rush" games on Thursday nights.Here are the five advanced stats to know before the colorful primetime battle between these two division rivals.1. Ahead of the curveThe chart below shows the average stats for rookie quarterbacks over the past decade who were drafted in the first three rounds and attempted at least 200 pa ses in their first profe sional season. Here's how Matt Harvey Jersey Titans quarterback stacks up to those averages that were formulated by the numbers of 28 signal-callers who fit the criteria.Mariota vs. Rookie Quarterbacks From 2005-2014Completion %TD %INT %Yards Per CompletionRookie QB Averages57.33.393.2611.43Marcus Mariota65.65.82.712.2Source: Pro Football ReferenceNow you know how this subheading got its name.Among the 28 qualifying quarterbacks were busts like Matt Leinart, Vince Young and Christian Ponder.So which signal-callers' rookie campaigns has Mariota's been the most like?Mariota vs. other rookie campaignsPlayerCompletion %TD %INT %Yards Per CompletionMarcus Mariota65.65.82.712.264.16.62.512.465.65.11.312.4604.13.313.1Source: Pro Football ReferenceGriffin III ultimately flopped Jeurys Familia Jersey in Washington, but Newton and Wilson both signed second contracts worth more than $100 million. Is Mariota bound for the former or the latter? We'll see, but he's undoubtedly ahead of the curve. Which is even more interesting than usual because many believed the Oregon star would certainly take longer than half a season to acclimate to the NFL as an effective pa ser.2. Big-play Blake is like, "um, what about me?"Let me get there, man.Bortles, the No. 3 overall selection in 2014 draft, didn't have a Mariota-esque rookie season, but he's taken a noticeable step forward in his sophomore year with the Jaguars. Although his completion percentage is down, his touchdown and interception percentages are better, and his QB rating is more than 10 points higher.Beyond that, Bortles has been a big-play machine in 2015.Big-play BortlesPlayerPa ses comp. (+20 yards)Pa sing TDs43204223Blake Bortles401936183521Source: Pro Football Mookie Wilson Jersey ReferenceBeing in the middle of a quarterback group consisting of Drew Brees, Carson Palmer, Andy Dalton and Aaron Rodgers is almost always a really good thing. Bortles hasn't been super consistent this season; however, the Jaguars have to be happy with the explosive plays he's created through the air basically every week.3. Put him in, coachThere is a legitimate argument that the Jaguars' best defender is a backup, situational role player.Defensive lineman is tied for the team lead with three sacks, yet he's played just 140 snaps all season, which equates to about 20 percent of plays in which Jacksonville's been on defense. His +6.1 overall Pro Football Focus grade is the highest on his side of the football. Check out how Davis has performed compared to other Jaguars defensive Tom Seaver Jersey ends:Clemons vs. Jaguars defensive endsPlayerSnapsSacks + Hits + Hurries3821223210Ryan Davis14017Source: Pro Football FocusGus Bradley knows slightly more about defense than I do, but the numbers? Well, they can lie if taken out of context, but here they're clear as day.Davis has been the most productive defensive lineman for the Jaguars and needs to be on the field more, especially given the recent injury to . 4. Titans' underrated tight end doesn't look like the prototypical tight end that's become so popular and effective in today's NFL.He's not 6-foot-6 and 260-plus pounds with an enormous wingspan.At 6-foot and 248 pounds with twitchy athleticism and solid blocking ability, Walker is a prototypical H-back, a cro sbreed of a fullback and tight end.Take a peek at where the versatile offensive weapon ranks among tight ends in PFF's Yards Per Route Run this Darryl Strawberry Jersey season. Ranking the tight ends (yards per route run)PlayerYardsRoutes runYards/route run8063322.436642802.37Delanie Walker5082222.293121472.123971982.01Source: Pro Football FocusNot bad for a former sixth-round pick who can't simply box out defenders to make catches down the seam or in the end zone.Walker, who currently leads Tenne see in every major receiving category, will be frequently targeted by Mariota in this one.5. Allen familySo you know about and . They've been the go-to targets for Bortles this season. But how impre sive have they really been?Answer: Extremely impre sive, particularly in the dynamic-play department. Among the 32 receivers who have made at least 40 catches thus far in 2015, Hurns and Robinson lead the NFL in yards per grab.Jaguars' dynamic duoPlayerReceptionsYards/receptionTDsAllen Hurns41177Allen Robinson4516.874016.514316.334215.44Source: Pro Football ReferenceThose touchdown totals are remarkable too.Rob Gronkowski and are the only pa s-catching duos with more touchdowns this season (15) than Robinson and Hurns.Prediction: Jaguars 31, Titans 27Usually, games are relatively low-scoring. Not this week. Hurns and Robinson Adrian Gonzalez Jersey will showcase their down-the-field abilities, and although Bortles and Mariota will make some mistakes with the football, overall, they'll have sound evenings.At home, I like Jacksonville to make a few more plays against a banged-up Tenne see secondary which will lead to an important division victory.
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